Category - ADI

Lack Of Pupils?

I just noticed someone found this site on the search term “adi’s lack of pupils 2010”.

Crescent MoonI’m not noticing any lack myself. I noticed a distinct reduction in new pupils between April-September 2008 (and yes, I do mean 2008), but from October 2008 it skyrocketed, and the whole of 2009 was very busy. I’m still busy right now, picking up typically 1-2 new pupils a week.

The snow affected lessons, of course. One pupil decided she would wait until it cleared up before she started lessons again, but others revelled in driving in the harsh conditions. I suppose some people who might have planned on starting lessons decided against it until the weather got better, but others seem not to have considered the weather at all and want to learn to drive. Pupils, after all, are like the phases of the moon. They are forever changing.

Having said that, the world does not revolve around me and I know that a lot of other instructors are having a hard time – and have been in that position for quite a while. So why might that be?

The first thing to remember is that whatever is the direct cause of not having enough work today is probably not the same direct cause that perhaps resulted in (for example) lack of work last summer, or in 2008, or 2007, and so on. What happens in the space between someone having an ADI badge and pupils wanting lessons is extremely complicated. Plenty of people think they know the answer, but they don’t – because as I just explained, there is no single answer. It is different for everyone, and it is different every time it happens.

Let’s just consider some of the factors which could be involved.

We’re In A Recession

Shops are closing every day (well, last year they were). Entire businesses are disappearing. People are on short time… You could go on and on. Anyone who thinks that this isn’t affecting people and their ability to pay for driving lessons – particularly in some areas of the country - is an idiot.

It does have a positive side, in that being able to drive is another string in the bow of someone looking for work, so they may put learning to drive as a fairly high priority if they still have funds. I’ve had a few of these myself, so I know it can be a factor – but in really depressed areas it might not be as significant a factor as it is here in the Midlands.

It’s Winter

Some instructors insist that it always goes quiet “at this time of year”. Well, maybe it does for them – so we can’t dismiss it as a possible factor. Personally, I only ever find the Christmas weeks (very) and maybe the first week or two (slightly) in the New Year quieter than the surrounding periods.

It’s Summer

Yep. You hear this one, too. In my own experience you will get a few who go away for an extended period. Even several people going away for a couple of weeks around the same time can rip your diary to shreds if it is already lightweight, but generally people seem to like taking lessons in the summer. However, see the next section for another reason why summer can hit you hard.

Bloody Students

If your clientele is primarily sourced from the Universities and colleges, then once their exams are finished and they go home your work just about dries up from that source (Unis especially). You have to wait until October for it to start picking up again, and it doesn’t pick up immediately… they have to get settled in, finish playing silly buggers, and wait for the colder dark nights to come before they start thinking about driving.

I got caught out with this one year, but I now make sure to the best of my ability that my pupil base isn’t entirely composed of Uni students over the summer. Up to a point you don’t have much choice (unless you turn people away just for being students, which would be stupid), and some years it is worse than others, but it shows the perils of concentrating on just the Universities with your advertising.

On the flip side of this, you do get a few students who start learning when they get home for the summer (although this can be affected by going on holiday, and the fact they stop again when they go back to Uni come October – but 4 months is still a long time to have them).

How Many?

In some places there are a lot of instructors. South Yorkshire is famous for it. And if you believe some of the scare stories numbers are still increasing as people try to earn the oft-mentioned £30,000 by doing as little as possible for it. Personally, I think the danger is overstated – but that doesn’t mean it isn’t a factor to be considered in some areas. Obviously, too many instructors looking for work in a depressed area is likely to result in disappointment for some.

Where Are You?

There is a big difference between people living in the South East and those living in the North East or North West (or South Yorkshire, and parts of Scotland and Wales) in terms of employment and disposable income. There’s a big difference between the South East and the South West in terms of population density. In other words: everywhere is different from everywhere else for one reason or another – but if you cover a poor area, with high unemployment, and a reputation for low hourly lesson rates and stacks of ADIs all seeking work, or perhaps where you were the only instructor in a rural area but another two have appeared recently, you might find work taking a downturn.

Totally Independent

Driving instructors are all self-employed (there are a couple of elitist organisations which target affluent people and who, in some cases, might pay their instructors a salary – but they are in a tiny, tiny minority). Instructors either operate completely independently (e.g. Arnold Smith’s Driving School, consisting of Arnold Smith and one car), or through a franchise (e.g. BSM, AA, local school, etc. – all operating more than one car).

An instructor with a franchise will have the franchise’s marketing machine behind him to generate pupils. The effectiveness of this machine can vary from huge to bugger all use… and it is also prey to the same fluctuations already mentioned. Arguably, the larger and more ‘national’ the franchise, the smaller the effects of some of the various causes of fluctuations are likely to be – but then again, it is quite possible a small local franchise has its own marketing down to a fine art, though not all of them do. This is where risk enters the equation (and we’re not going into that here).

If an instructor is not with a franchise he has to advertise and make his own marketing machine. This can take many forms ranging from sitting outside the local school at lunch times or sticking postcards in the chip shops’ and newsagents’ walls… all the way up to whole page adverts in Yellow Pages and local newspapers. It can be cheap or very expensive – and it can be effective or a total waste of money (the amount spent is not automatically proportional to the amoung of work generated).

So what does all this mean? And bear in mind I am not offering a quick fix – just an explanation…

Well, any one instructor could either be fully booked or totally without work depending on how he has developed his business and how external circumstances have settled around him. Two ADIs living in the same street could have vastly different workloads depending on how long they have been doing this, what hours they cover, what days of the week they work, what kind of people they are, and so on. It is possible for the longer serving ADI to be the one without work. It is possible for the least “pleasant” ADI to have the most work. So it is pointless trying to emulate other people and expecting work to roll in: it doesn’t work like that. But yes, some people are suffering heavily at the moment. Any ADI is subject to any or all of the above factors (and there could be plenty of others I haven’t mentioned here).

New instructors especially may be totally useless at marketing their businesses – and yet these are the ones most likely to decide to become totally independent and not use a franchise as soon as they qualify.

The bottom line is that if you do the right things for your own circumstances you can only hope for the best – but with the knowledge that you really did give it your best shot . But if you don’t know what you are doing and just try to cruise along, the risk of failure is higher. In this latter case, you will only have yourself to blame .

You Never Know What’s Around The Corner

Just happened to catch this situation today whilst driving down a country lane in Bunny:

[flv:/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/sheep_in_road.flv 480 360]

I did the right thing: stopped and turned off my engine. The sheep were incredibly well-behaved.

The driver bringing up the rear said he doesn’t use dogs because they cost more to feed than the 4×4 does.

(This was playing with my new in-car camera in 720p/60fps mode – motion blur is reduced, but you get a bit of outer-edge distortion)

Caught By Same Gatso 13 Times!

Gatso CameraI saw this one in the papers at the weekend.

Geraldine Tavares was caught speeding 13 times in 2 months by the same Gatso camera. What makes it worse was that she was doing it in her mother’s car - which appears to have been one of those Motability-funded cars – and, as a result, her mother has had the car confiscated because the offences mean she is in breach of the terms of the agreement which allows her to have it!

As well as the 13 offences mentioned, Tavares was accused of 17 more (if I understand the report correctly). The prosecutor said he would only go ahead with four of them as they were a sufficient sample for the magistrates to make a decision. Of these four, she was clocked at 46, 48, and twice at 61mph on the same 30mph stretch of road in Wednesfield, West Midlands, all at around 4am.

She said she was tired.

Tavares was banned for two years and fined £100. Her disabled mother will have to wait two years before she can have the car back.

Tavares should have her licence taken away permanently! Just like the idiots who get towed behind cars in the snow who don’t think of what could happen to innocent bystanders, just their own stupid enjoyment, Tavares gave no consideration to what she could have done to other people by driving like that so frequently.

AA Franchise And Bad Weather

The AA LogoThis is interesting. I wrote recently about how BSM has changed its Bad Weather Policy – or rather, abolished it – for its franchisees, right in the middle of the heaviest snow for decades.

I’ve just been informed that the AA, which didn’t have a bad weather policy in its agreement as far as I know, has decided to defer £100 of the franchise fee for the first week after Christmas until later in the year to help instructors over the worst of the current very extreme weather. They’re spacing out the deferred payment over four weeks during March 2010. They even have an option to refuse the arrangement if the franchisee doesn’t need it.

BSM LogoWithout commenting too much, there is a very interesting but apparent difference in the way franchisees are treated on display here.

Worth pointing out, as well, that I have had a number of search enquiries for “bsm going down”. I think this illustrates clearly the mentality of some people out there. Frighteningly, some of them are driving instructors!

EDIT 22/12/2010: There is a December 2010 update to this story here . The AA has again deferred franchise payments to cover the worst of the winter weather that we are again experiencing across the country.

BSM Franchise Bad Weather Policy

I hear that BSM has recently changed its policy with regards to bad weather (EDIT: This is an old story – The AA now owns BSM).

BSM LogoApparently, it was in the contract that if the local Test Centre didn’t do tests for a certain period then the franchise fee was adjusted. But recently, BSM has taken this clause out of the contract.

I don’t know (yet) what BSM franchisees are saying about this, but I can guess. Maybe some of them could let me know via the contact form?

The one thing to remember is that the weather is not in anyone’s control and all other instructors have to manage bad patches themselves. It is surprising BSM had this clause in anyway, although the franchise fee is somewhat higher than most others and I guess franchisees need something to show for the extra outlay.

Having said that, BSM franchisees ought to consider the financial impact paying out could have had on BSM as a whole if the clause had remained. Instead of just not getting a discount, they might have been not having a franchise to work for!

With the weather the way it has been no franchisee would have been paying anything from since before Christmas. BSM wouldn’t have survived.

On the other hand, franchisees can still teach – its only tests which are cancelled, which made the original deal a little unfair anyway.

EDIT 12/1/2010: On the flip side, look at this story.

Tests Cancelled – Colwick 10/01/2010

I had a test at 9.17am this morning, and it is cancelled. The examiner at Colwick said that the morning tests are likely to go to the wall, and this afternoon is looking highly unlikely as well.

He said it is looking good for tomorrow, though – but check first, because -2°C is forecast tonight.

Mind you, they forecast heavy snow – yet it spent most of yesterday and last night raining, sleeting, and thawing. But this has made a lot of roads more dangerous than ever (water on ice is not a good mix).

Having said that, as soon as you move out of the city it appears that the sleet was snow and it has settled again. About 0.5cm in Bunny. It is snowing in Wilford now (8.00am).

Call the Test Centre on 0115 961 1593 – remember they can only tell you if a test is on or not. They’e not there to get into a big debate over why the test is cancelled.

Dickheads In Snow

Another one from the web. This one shows a couple of twats (it’s in London, so you’ll have to put up with the annoying nasal drivel coming out) driving in an extremely dangerous manner in February last year.

Notice how they have no regard whatsoever for the pedestrians at the crossings, or the motorcyclist to their right just after that. Even if they were driving safely, you could hardly say the driver was concentrating on the road.

The best part is that the idiot driving let the idiot filming show his face – so hopefully, the Police will have had something to say to him. This has to be one of the best examples of that type of low-life scum who should never be allowed out unsupervised, let alone get behind the wheel of a car.

Total Twat

Bad DriverI was out in the snow last night not long after it had really started to come down (around 6.30pm). I was travelling along the A60 in Bunny.

The snow had covered the road, and I was doing about 25-30mph in a 40mph zone. However, in my rearview mirror I saw the usual twat appear – obviously going a lot faster than me.

He came up right behind, then when he got the chance with no oncoming traffic in the short distance between where we were and the right turn-off to Keyworth he swung out on to hatched markings (which were not visible under the snow) and overtook. He disappeared at speed – well above 40mph, and then well above 50mph when the limit changed.

It was a red pratmobile, registration number FE51 UGY.

You really do wonder how these scum manage to stay alive.

EDIT 7/1/2010: And another one tonight. During the rush hour, heavy traffic on Wilford Lane. Traffic queuing through the Compton Acres lights for some reason (which turned out to be a bloody cyclist riding in the middle of the road further down). This tosser in a Silver Mondeo (reg. no. LC03 VVT) came flying down the outside lane and forced its way in front of me outside the ROKO creche, causing me to have to brake in sub-zero conditions. It then tailgated the car in front and once it got on to Loughborough Road it drove off at well above the 30mph limit. I passed it at the Radcliffe Road lights – so what the hell was the point?

EDIT 8/1/2010: And two more. This morning I was on my way to a pupil – it was -3°C and icy. I was just approaching the Nottingham Knight roundabout when an Erewash Commercials lorry (reg. no. FJ04 UAU – going bloody fast: I thought those things were speed-restricted) being driven by a chimpanzee pulled out just in front of me, without any regard for anyone else. He caused me to brake sharply, and then proceeded to break the 60mph and 40mph speed limits on the A60 as he headed towards Bunny.

The tonight, a prat in a grey saloon (reg. no. A14 AGB) on Clifton Lane from Ruddington overtook me on a road which has solid white lines and signs saying “It’s 30 for a reason” (the reason being someone was killed there a few years ago) in snow and sub-zero temperatures. I made sure he knew what I though of his sexual DIY skills when I caught up with him at the CliftonLane/Green Lane roundabout a few hundred metres later.

Cancelled Driving Tests January 2010

EDIT 29/11/2010: The DSA is cancelling driving tests due to bad weather, as it hits late in 2010. This post originally referred to late 2009/early 2010, but it is as relevant now as it was then.

Tests get cancelled. You need to phone up on the morning or turn up and expect the worst. They will not usually cancel until the actual day of the test – unless the weather is very bad (not in Nottingham, anyway). At one point last winter they did cancel days ahead.

I was trying to keep this post updated, but people are not finding it even though they are searching for information about cancelled tests.

I spoke with the Colwick Test Centre yesterday and all tests were cancelled both Monday and Tuesday. Bear in mind that we had a smattering of snow Monday night followed by -5°C and it was treacherous on most roads first thing, and nearly all side roads throughout the day.

We had a significant dumping of snow last night (Tuesday). Anyone with a test at Colwick really ought to phone first and expect it to be off. The morning ones in particular. I know that all the morning ones have been cancelled already – I have one scheduled for 2.30pm but I am not optimistic. Yep, just got a text from my pupil – the Test Centre has called him to cancel his test, so Wednesday tests are also totally cancelled.

I was up there yesterday with a pupil who has a test next week, and at 2.30pm instructors were turning up for afternoon tests! A phone call would have saved a lot of wasted time.

My advice is watch the weather forecast and check with the Test Centre before turning up. You MUST call the Test Centre (or at least turn up) because if you don’t they may assume you just didn’t show – and that is NOT the same as them cancelling it due to snow. THE TEST CENTRE PHONE NUMBER IS ON THE LETTER OR EMAIL OF CONFIRMATION YOU GOT WHEN YOU BOOKED YOUR TEST.

EDIT 7/1/2010 #1: Incidentally, you need to make your own minds up about the weather forecast. I’d embedded the BBC one in this post, but it is the biggest pile of misleading crap imaginable. On minute it says one thing, the next it is totally different – and at the exact same time the BBC weather forecast on the TV says something totally different again! According to the TV we are going to get snow today – the BBC website embed doesn’t say that, and although yesterday it said we would get some tomorrow and at the weekend, it now says nothing of the sort.

In fact, the BBC weather forecast is not a forecast at all. It’s more an historical record of what DID happen (the Beeb burns its fingers every time it tries to forecast: remember Michael Fish and the Hurricane? And the Barbecue Summer last year? And the Mild Winter we’re currently in the middle of?)

EDIT 7/1/2010 #2: And a test at 3.30pm cancelled today. No tests conducted at all since Christmas from what the Test Centre staff tell me.

EDIT 8/1/2010 #1: Just saw the search term “will driving tests be cancelled on monday” in my stats. The Test Centre only makes a decision on the day – and if you have an afternoon test it won’t make a decision until around midday. They get enough flak from people for cancelled tests as it is, so you can imagine what would happen if they cancelled Monday today (Friday) and it suddenly warmed up over the weekend!

However, you need to use a little commonsense. If it stays like it is, your test will more than likely be cancelled. Yesterday, I had a test booked for 3.30pm, but I had arranged with another pupil that it would most likely be cancelled and they could have a lesson at that time if it was. So I kept the slot filled instead of losing it altogether – and the pupil who had the lesson also benefited.

EDIT 8/1/2010 #2: Further to my comment about the BBC’s horrendous weather forecasting skills, above, and the fact that their last update to their three-day forecast said today in Nottingham would be clear, bright sun – I just drove through a blizzard in Bunny.

Gritting Roads In Nottingham II

I think I’ve figured out what the Nottingham City and County Councils are doing to conserve rock salt. Take a look at this video clip from yesterday (Saturday).

[flv:/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/snow_on_road.flv 480 360]

See how one side of the road is clear, and yet the other side is covered in snow. Also notice how in some places it is obviously treated, but then it suddenly changes again to untreated. Clever, isn’t it? Just grit half the road!

The problem is that driving from treated to untreated then back again is extremely dangerous for anyone, let alone for inexperienced drivers.

EDIT 4/1/2010: Just watching BBC Nottingham News and they are laying into the Notts and Leics councils for their appalling performances in gritting roads.

Specifically, roads in Mapperley and Carlton in Nottingham are actually closed off. This is in the middle of a large city, where the primitive minds of the council are determined to force everyone else to live in the Stone Age!

I had to pick a pupil up from one of these roads today and there has been absolutely no attempt whatsoever to keep them open. It is sheet ice everywhere. It seems that there was a further dusting of snow last night in some areas, and Mapperley had most of it – and that was on top of a temperature of between -4°C and -5°C when I went out this morning.

On the TV, the council said that on roads where they can’t grit they provide gritting bins. The reporter showed quite clearly that these bins are empty, and said “what’s the point in providing them if they aren’t filled up? ” The programme shows roads littered with abandoned cars, chocked with bricks, which the owners simply haven’t been able to move. One young girl crashed into a wall while they were filming.

I have seen no more than 3 or 4 gritting lorries since the snow began before Christmas – and I am out on the road a lot. I saw dozens more of them back in February last year.

To make matters worse, heavy snow is forecast for Nottingham tomorrow.